Initial Analysis: December 28, 2025
Updated: February 26, 2026
1. Retrospective: Analysis from December 28, 2025
Late last year, the market faced significant uncertainty. Nevertheless, we identified the first signals of a long-term reversal during that period. While the majority saw only weakness, on-chain data clearly pointed toward accumulation. Therefore, to understand our methodology, you should read .
Furthermore, our original breakdown remains available here: .
From our original analysis: “Market conditions appear weak; however, on-chain metrics show a meaningful shift. For the first time in three months, long-term holders accumulated over 3,800 BTC. This fact creates the foundation for recovery.”
2. Structural Confirmation: From 63,000 to 68,003
Consequently, the beginning of 2026 brought volatility that tested our thesis. As we anticipated in our February 24 review — — the 63,000 level became the critical pivot point.
At present, according to CoinMarketCap data, Bitcoin trades around 68,003. Thus, the successful bounce from the 63,000 zone confirms aggressive demand. This price action fully validates the accumulation signals we observed back in December.
3. Technical Outlook & Risks
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Support: The market has confirmed 63,000 as a key “floor.” As long as the price remains above this mark, the bullish trend remains intact.
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Target Zone: Next, we face the 70,000 psychological barrier. If buyers break this level, it clears the path toward our calculated target of 97,000.
However, we must remember that we do not trade on hope. If Bitcoin loses the 63,000 support, a prolonged consolidation phase will replace the bullish scenario. For this reason, we rely only on confirmed levels.
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